1
Summer, 1969
When thinking back Paul Kawaski, PHD, considered the
whole thing his fault. He had been an analyst in the Soviet Section of the
CIA's Intelligence Directorate back in the late '60s. His job was to piece
together information gleamed from field agents, satellite recon, and other
sources and write reports on various aspects of the Soviet Union. Mostly those
reports concerned mundane subjects like projections of Ukrainian wheat yields,
the production of a tractor factory in Minsk, or the effects of the latest five
year health care plan in Tashkent or Volgagrad.
But the subject of the report he completed on July
25th, 1969, changed the course of history. More than thirty years later the
subject of the report, and indeed its very existence, was still classified.
The title of the report was "The Effects on
Soviet Economic and Military Strength of Soviet Aerospace Expenditures."
He supposed that the excitement of the Moon landing caused him to write it. At
the time he considered it an interesting intellectual exercise, but nothing of
Earth shattering importance.
Kawaski knew that his work was usually circulated
among other analysts at the Firm and in various nooks and crannies in the
federal government, a congressional staffer here, and a bureaucrat at State
there. Occasionally an Undersecretary of State would read his work. So he was
very surprised to learn that he was going to attend a meeting at the White
House on August 9th.
Kawaski paid an unusual attention to his grooming and
dress the day he was to go to the meeting. He wore his darkest blue,
conservative suit and made certain that his hair and beard were neatly trimmed.
He drove from Langley all the way to the White House. He presented his CIA ID
to the guard at the White House gate. "I'm expected," he said,
unnecessarily.
The guard looked him up on his list. "Park over
there," he said, jabbing his finger vaguely in the direction of some
visitor's slots. "Entrance is over there." He jabbed his finger in
another direction. "They'll take care of you and make sure you get where
you need to be."
"Thanks."
A uniformed Secret Service man at the entrance
checked his ID against his list.
Then he picked up the receiver of his telephone and dialed a number.
"Dr. Kawaski is here...Yes, I'll tell him." He hung up the phone.
"Mr. Harlington will be here to meet you."
Harlington, Kawaski thought. The name didn't
ring any bells.
Presently a short, stocky man with a military style
buzz cut and a gray suit appeared. "I'm Chris Harlington," he said.
"I'm on the NSC staff. You're Kawaski."
"I have that dubious honor," Kawaski
replied as they shook hands. "Are you the one I'm meeting with? You see; I
haven't been given any details."
"Among others," Harlington said. "Come
with me."
They vanished together in the bowls of the White
House.
"I read that paper of yours," Harlington
told him. "I must say your insights are very impressive. My boss thought
so too."
"Your-boss?"
"His boss too."
Kawaski was puzzled. "Are we meeting them
too?"
"Oh, yes."
They walked through some corridors, passing by
serious looking people in dark blue or gray suits going to and fro on the
nation's business. By the time they got to a receptionist's station, Kawaski
thought he recognized where they were.
"You don't mean..?" he started.
"Oh yes," Harlington replied. Then to the
receptionist, "Are they all inside?"
"You gentlemen can go right on in, Mr.
Harlington," she replied.
Following Harlington, Kawaski stepped inside the Oval
Office. He had to struggle to keep the lump out of his throat. Nevertheless he
managed to cross the room and shake hands with Richard Nixon, President of the
United States.
"So your the genius Harlington's been raving
about," President Nixon said.
"Mr. President, I-"
"This is Dr. Kissinger, my National Security
Advisor, Bob Haldeman, my Chief of Staff."
Kawaski shook hands in turn with a curly haired man
in thick glasses and a tall, lean man with close-cropped hair. Unlike the
President neither one of them were smiling. "A pleasure, to be sure,
gentlemen," Kawaski said. "Dr. Kissinger, I read your last
book."
"Indeed," he replied with a Germanic
accent. He still didn't smile.
"Well, shall we get started?" the President
suggested.
Kawaski gave a presentation on his findings.
Essentially the effort spent by the Soviets to win the race to the Moon had
caused a small but measurable effect on its economic and military strength.
"We have intelligence of both money and personnel being diverted from
their strategic rocket program to the development of the N-1. That's the big,
four staged rocket that's their equivalent of the Saturn V. They haven't been
able to get it to work, but they are still trying."
"Even now that we've beat them?" President
Nixon asked.
"That's right. Currently the Russians believe
that Soviet honor demands that even having lost, they should put a man up there
just so they can claim they have kept pace with us."
"Has this effort degraded Soviet military
readiness?" said Kissinger.
"Not yet. But I've some projections that
indicate that it might very soon."
"Yes, the projections," Nixon replied with
a certain anxiousness. "Let's hear them."
"If we continue our current space effort at the
same pace as present, the Soviets will feel compelled to try to catch up and
maybe surpass us. There're been discussions in the Politburo about how the
Soviet Union should proceed should we build a lunar base or even start another
race to-say-Mars. Right now-according to our intelligence-the consensus in the
Politburo is that such a development would constitute a direct threat to the
security of the Soviet Union."
"Do they really think that?" Kissinger
asked skeptically.
"Yes, I think so. Remember when Lyndon Johnson
declared that he didn't want to go to sleep by the light of a communist Moon?
Breznev doesn't want to go to sleep by the light of a capitalist Moon."
"How far are they prepared to go?" Nixon
asked.
"That's hard to tell. But I've an analysis based
on the scenario that the Space Task Group is in the process of putting
together. That's on page 143."
Nixon and Kissinger flipped their copies of the report to that page. "That's
an estimate of the amount of money and personnel which would be necessary to
attempt to match the Space Task Group plan. We'll see a serious degradation of
Soviet military readiness by no later than 1975. They will be forced to divert
resources from the maintenance and upgrade of their strategic rocket forces to
try to maintain pace with us."
"But then they would be in danger of falling
behind us in nuclear forces," suggested Kissinger. "They would never
risk that."
"Unless-" Nixon started, and then catching
himself he forced a smile. He continued,
"If the Soviets perceived themselves in danger of falling behind in
nuclear arms, it might provide us other opportunities."
:"Hmm," said Kissinger, seeming to get an
insight from Nixon's cryptic remark.
"Ah, Dr. Kawaski, thank you for your time,"
Nixon said. "Your presentation was most-enlightening."
"Thank you, Mr. President."
"Mr. Harlington will show you out." As
Harlington clapped Kawaski on the back and steered him toward the door, Kawaski
heard Nixon say, "Bob, we need to set up a meeting with some of our
political people. Make it next week some time. And Henry, I want you people
to-"
But then the door closed shut behind them.
"Well, how did I do?" asked Kawaski.
"My personal opinion is that you knocked them
dead."
"Really?"
"You noticed what Haldeman said?"
"He didn't say anything."
"Exactly."
Kawaski was to puzzle over that last exchange for
several months.
* * *
One of the first things Wendy Pendleton did when she
moved to Houston back in 1967 was to buy an ice blue corvette. She liked the way that it hummed around her
as she roared down Highway 3 from her house north of the Manned Space flight
Center. She also liked the way heads turned as she passed through the front
gate of the center and hence to her parking space near the Lunar Receiving Lab.
Most people seeing the corvette for the first time thought an astronaut was
driving it. Astronauts tended to like
vehicles that were sleek and went fast, whether they traveled in the air, in
space, or on the highway. Only when the door popped open and two, well turned,
boot and stocking clad legs stepped out followed by a trim, athletic body in a
green dress, and medium, blond bangs were people disabused of that notion. In
the late sixties, as America raced to the Moon, the word "woman" was
never connected to the word "astronaut."
But that, she thought not for the first time, is
going to change. One way or the other.
Eight years ago, Wendy had been a college freshman
and was wondering what she really wanted to do with her education and the rest
of her life. Then a young President named John F. Kennedy announced that he
thought that America should send a man to the Moon by the end of the decade.
Wendy, after she had seen the announcement on the news in the student commons,
had walked outside and looked up at the crescent Moon in the evening sky for a
long time. The next day she informed her student advisor that she wanted to go
into geology.
Inside the Lunar Receiving Lab, dressed in a clean
suit, her gloved hands gingerly handling a rock just brought back last month by
the Apollo 11 crew, Wendy lectured to a group of astronauts. "This rock,
which Neil found on the Sea of Tranquility, is what we in the business call
'basalt.' Can anyone tell me what that means?"
"That means the Sea of Tranquility used to be a
hot old place," said one of the astronauts.
When the good-natured laughter died down, Wendy said,
"Yes, Pete's right. This rock was once subjected to intense heat. That
means the Sea of Tranquility used to be a sea of molten lava. And that means
that the Moon used to be very geologically active."
Wendy noticed that several of the astronauts were
eying her with as much appreciation as they were the treasure Armstrong had
brought back from the Moon. When she had first taken the job as a researcher
and instructor to the astronauts who would fly to the Moon, she had to fend off
quite a number of advances, subtle and not so subtle. Some of those passes had
come from men who for all appearances were happily married. Finally Deke
Slayton, head of the astronaut office, had put his foot down and had laid down
the law about "fraternization." The advances had taper off, but not
entirely.
One of the astronauts who had made a pass at her once
was Ray MacPherson, a tall, lean Naval aviator with close cropped, sandy blond
hair, a broken nose, and a permanent smile on his face. His smile was as if he
found everything he saw fascinating. MacPherson had accepted her rejection with
good humor and had actually become a friend, one of her only ones in the
astronaut corps. Rumor had it that he was on the fast track to be command
module pilot for Apollo 19.
She was barely surprised to see MacPherson waiting
for her in her office, leaning back in her guest chair, bounding a rubber ball
off the wall. Her office (which was as tiny as a closet, but since it had a
door it qualified) had walls filled with lunar orbiter photos, as well as a few
of herself in the deserts of Arizona, the mountains of Colorado, and other
places she had rock hunted as a post grad. "Stop that!" she growled.
He caught the ball neatly and she edged her way behind her desk.
"I read that memo you sent out to the Boys'
Town," he said.
Boys' Town referred to the area where NASA had stuck
some of the scientist-astronauts, a jumble of desks and cabinets out in the
open. "It went further than there," Wendy replied.
"Oh, I know. You've got your fellow geologists
all stirred up. Shoemaker and Silver are frankly intrigued." Gene
Shoemaker and Leon Silver were two other field geologists NASA had hired to
train the astronauts and map out the scientific missions for the later Apollo
flights. "Of course they're easy to convince. If you rock hounds had your
way, we'd be up to Apollo 30 before you'd be satisfied."
"And your point is?"
"There's no way in hell they're gonna approve a
mission to the South Pole."
"By Apollo 21 we ought to know a lot about
getting to the Moon. For Gods sake, Ray. We could prove that there's ice in
those shadowed craters."
"You don't have to convince me. I'd command that
flight in a heartbeat. But the Project office is not gonna approve a flight
that's so far away from the lunar equater. You remember how they shat bricks
when Tycho came up."
"And frankly I still think Tycho would be a good
idea."
"That's not the point. The trajectory to get the
Tycho is so far out of the free return that the flight directors have hives
thinking about it. As for the pole-"
"I've talked to some of the folks at North
America. The F1s on the Saturn can be tweaked to bump up their thrust. We can
compensate."
MacPherson nodded. "Yeah, I've seen that
proposal too. They've got it up to 1.8 million on the test stand. But this may
be all academic. Rumor has it there might not even be an Apollo 19, not to
mention anything past 20."
"Oh, that's nonsense! You really think we'd stop
after what we've just done?"
"They're folks in Congress who want to cut us
the bone. Put all the money into poverty programs, the environment-"
"They've always been folks in Congress who've
wanted to do that. They're idiots."
"Yeah. But sometimes I think it's a different
country than the one I left back in '65 to fly missions over Vietnam. Maybe
we've lost the guts to do things like go to the Moon."
Wendy fell silent, pursing her lips.
"Hey, sorry I depressed you. Hell, what do I
know about politics? I'm just a fly boy."
"I'm not depressed. I'm a little bit
angry."
There was more than that. Unknown to any of her
coworkers at NASA, Wendy had been driving up highway I 45 to Hobby airport and
had been taking flying lessons. She would probably get her pilot's license
sometime in the Fall. The reason for her wanting to be a pilot would have been
obvious to MacPherson and to anyone in the astronaut corps.
One had to be a pilot in order to be an astronaut.
True Wendy would not be qualified to fly high
performance jets, which was a minimal requirement, but she would be part way
there. The scientist astronauts like Jack Schmidt-currently slated to fly on
Apollo 18-had been given flying lessons and were qualified to pilot the T-38
jet trainer.
Her vision for Apollo 21 not only included it landing
somewhere near the lunar South Pole, but also featured the first American,
female astronaut, indeed the first woman ever to walk on the Moon. The woman's
name would be, if she had anything to do with it, Dr. Wendy Pendleton, PHD.
It was a dream she had dared tell no one. She thought
that even MacPherson would laugh if he knew. Women didn't fly into space, no
more than did women test fly aircraft or fly missions over Hanoi. Maybe one
day, but not now. Not soon.
Sooner than they think, maybe, she
thought.
Of course for that to happen, there would have to be
an Apollo 21. And that was by no means certain.
* * *
Cal Lauren was a happy man. He was happy not because
he was rich or powerful. He never cared about the former and the latter he knew
would come. He was happy that he was working in Washington D.C., was in the
right place at the right time, and that everything he had dreamed of coming to
pass was unfolding like a story already told.
He had lucked out in getting a job as counsel to
Congressman Benjamin Arnold last year right out of Berkley. Most Hill jobs
still went to Ivy League grads, but Arnold had been impressed by what he called
his "fresh perspective." He had hired him on the spot and had put him
to work right away drawing up legislation for the new Committee of the
Environment, which Arnold headed. Arnold had decided that dirty air and water
would be the issue of the '70s. Lauren agreed and in fact had written his
Master's thesis on environmental regulation.
Congressman Arnold had been in Congress since 1933,
having been swept into office along with Franklin Roosevelt. Arnold was now in
his seventies and many of Lauren's fellow Hill Rats thought him a little
senile. That's a mistake I've never made, Lauren thought to himself. The Old
Man may be a little slower than his heighday passing New Deal legislation and
maybe too given to telling old stories about FDR or Mr. Sam or "that young
fella" Kennedy. But he had a sharp mind and a quick temper.
"I told Lyndon he was making a big
mistake," Arnold had informed him one time shortly after he had been
hired. "He's gotten us involved in that damn quagmire and now there's
nothing else going on. Think of all the progressive legislation we could have
passed. I'll bet you we loose the White House in November. Hubert's a good man,
but he doesn't have the killer state of mind to be President."
And wasn't he right? Still having Nixon in charge
suited Lauren just fine. The Vietnam thing, for instance, was now his
problem, not ours, he thought with satisfaction.
Some of his old friends back at Berkley would have
been shocked at such cynicism, though truth to tell Lauren was genuinely
against the war. The people of Vietnam have a right to fight for
their own society without us butting in. But it was also true that the main reason for his dabbling in the
peace movement back at college was that it was an easy way to get laid.
The subject currently most on his mind was not
Vietnam or the environment. He was taking a long walk down the Washington Mall,
among the picnickers and tourists. He had more discretion in August on where he
spent his office hours, since Congressman Arnold was spending the recess back
in his Wisconsin district. In front of him, the Washington Monument soared into
the clear blue sky like a rocket moments from take off. And that's a rather
apt simile, I must say, Lauren thought.
He came upon a certain tree, whose shade would shield
him some from the summer sun. He sat down with his back against the tree, took
out his thermos from his brief case and took a swig of iced tea. Then he fished
for the paper bag that contained his roast beef sandwich. He brought the
sandwich to his mouth to take a bite when a voice just beside him addressed
him.
"Good afternoon, Calvin."
Lauren lowered his sandwich and turned his face to
his right. A beefy faced, dark haired man, sweating in his dark blue suit, was
seated beside him. His named, Lauren surmised, was Yuri Popov. Officially he
was the Washington Bureau Chief for the Communist Party newspaper Pravda.
Lauren supposed that he was also a KGB intelligence agent, not that it mattered
to him. As if I would have any secrets to sell, he thought. Big as the
Russian was, it unnerved Lauren how silently he moved.
"Good afternoon, Yuri. When did you get back
from Moscow?"
"Two nights ago."
"Did you get it?"
Popov slid an envelope over to him. "A letter to
your member of Congress from our government. It states that in no way has the
Soviet Union seriously pursued this 'race to the Moon' that until last month
your nation has been embarked upon."
Lauren opened the envelope. "Proof that we've
just wasted twenty four billion dollars."
"If you'll excuse me, what use will your Congressman
make of this? He is not chairman of either your Congress's space committee or
the appropriations committee."
"He is a member of the VA,HUD,IA appropriations
subcommittee."
"So he will use this letter to cut funding for
your nation's space program."
"Oh certainly will." Though he doesn't
know it yet, he added to himself.
Lauren had a complicated plan to benefit Congressman
Arnold. With Kennedy's goal of landing a man on the Moon by the end of the
decade accomplished, there was an increasing sentiment in Congress to cut back
on space and fund more social programs. There were several members on the
committee who were very anxious to do just that. The deal that Lauren was
brokering, which Congressman Arnold did not know about yet, would transfer
money from NASA to low-income housing programs. In return those other members
would support Arnold on pushing for the establishment of an environmental
regulatory agency and for an increase in the dairy price support program. The
latter would make Arnold more popular than ever back in his rural Wisconsin
district.
Of course it would establish Lauren on the Hill as a
guy who got things done. People would come to him for favors in the expectation
that they could be granted. The flip side was that Lauren would demand favors
in return. And so his power and influence would increase.
"Thank you, Yuri. This will be very
helpful."
"And so perhaps both of our countries will not
waste countless dollars and rubles on adventures in space?"
Lauren smiled. And I'll be you'll just use those
savings on economic development, Yuri. A food program for collective farm
workers, perhaps? Right. More likely spend it on tanks and
missiles. Not my problem, though.
"Perhaps we have both done some good here, Yuri."
"Perhaps, my friend."
Lauren went back to his office on Capital Hill a far
happier man than when he left. And Yuri Popov was happier still, though for a
different reason.